Thursday, December 23, 2010

14 Days

Just 14 days to go.

In 14 days, a lot of things could happen.

A small, few knowledged individuals know exactly what will happen. But you and I dont know anyone like that.

A larger group of people have heard rumors of what will happen. They believe certain devices for Verizon will be released, and that it will have certain 4G capabilities that will usher in a new awesome era of selling devices for Verizon. They know that they CEO of Verizon is going to speak that day, something the CEO has never done before at this type of event. They speculate that the CEO will talk about the 4G devices he will be revealing that day for Verizon, given that it is a big deal for Verizon to finally be a player in the 4G market. You probably dont know people in this group, but I do. Not personally, but I read their blogs, so I know what they know.

Then there is an even larger group of people that contain people like me, who read the blogs of the smaller group who hear rumors and such. Based on all the blogs we read and opinions we listen to, we can guess what will happen in 14 days, but all we really have to go on is what we hear. The problem with what we hear is that a lot of garbage gets through, making it tough, but not impossible, to decipher BS within all the blogs and opinions we read. We can match what we learn with what we see going on in the outside world, as well as what our history lessons have taught us. We can make predictions as to what will happen in 14 days, but they just arent as good as the people in the smaller group. You know me, and you probably know people like me, and they probably tell you stuff that is similar or slightly similar to the same stuff I tell you.

Then there is a massive group that you fall into. We'll call this group: the rest of average day society. This group hears many, many things, and also believes many, many things. They do not take time to read up on events that have already taken place, or read up on the limits that companies are constrained by. And for some odd reason, they also feel compelled to share whatever things they hear with anyone who asks or may seem interested, as if grasping for their place in the lime-light. So thus, rumors that have little justification for existing or having any remote possibility of being true are perpetuated further, and spread like sand in the wind (sorry, just watched Buried, awesome movie.) So for this group, any guesses as to what may happen on January 6th, 14 days from now, have as much chance of being right as unicorns have of actually being real. Which is exactly why the Verizon iPhone is always referred to as "the mythical unicorn."

People in this last group have heard it from so many other people IN THEIR GROUP that this thing is real, everyone totally believes it. You know who doesnt believe it? All the other groups.

I wont waste any breath in this blog post outlining all the specific reasons why Verizon wont be getting the iPhone in January, so let me just cut to the point of me writing this post at all:

Im so firm in belief that Verizon will NOT be making ANY iPhone announcements of ANY kind on January 6th, that Im willing to place a bet.

Now, because Im not normally a betting man, I have no clue WHAT kind of wager would actually be appropriate. If Im right, well, then obviously I win the satisfaction of being right and the peace of mind knowing that the hideously large group of you will finally shut up about it.

But if Im wrong and the CEO of Verizon actually makes some sort of announcement related to the iPhone....... what should I have to do? Climb a large tree? Kiss a girl? Give up video games for a month? Go a whole day without any electronic devices at all?  What should it be?

Tell me! It may be your last chance to feel self-righteous before I strike you down with a Ha Ha, I told you so.

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